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| 1.  | REI Reinhart, Carmen. This Time is Different : Eight Centuries of Financial Folly / C. M. Reinhart, K. S. Rogoff. - Princeton, N.J. ; Oxford : Princeton University Press, 2009. - l, 463 p. - ISBN 978-0-691-15264-6. - Текст : непосредственный. Appendices : p. 293 - 392. Notes : p. 393 - 408. References : p. 409 - 434. Name index : p. 435 - 442. Subject index : p. 443 - 463 Сведения об экземплярах: всего 1 Доступны: Фонд основной (абонемент) - 1 Просмотреть дополнительную информацию об изданииСодержание Some Initial Intuitions on Financial Fragility and the Fickle Nature of Confidence : preamble Financial Crises : an Operational Primer : part 1 Varieties of Crises and Their Dates Crises Defined by Quantitative Thresholds : Inflation, Currency Crashes, and Debasement Crises Defined by Events : Banking Crises and External and Domestic Default Other Key Concepts Debt Intolerance : the Genesis of Serial Default Debt Thresholds Measuring Vulnerability Clubs and Regions Reflections on Debt Intolerance A Global Database on Financial Crises with a Long-Term View Prices, Exchange Rates, Currency Debasement, and Real GDP Government Finances and National Accounts Public Debt and Its Composition Global Variables Country Coverage Sovereign External Debt Crises : part 2 A Digression on the Theoretical Underpinnings of Debt Crises Sovereign Lending Illiquidity versus Insolvency Partial Default and Rescheduling Odious Debt Domestic Public Debt Cycles of Sovereign Default on External Debt Recurring Patterns Default and Banking Crises Default and Inflation Global Factors and Cycles of Global External Default The Duration of Default Episodes External Default through History The Early History of Serial Default : Emerging Europe, 1300 - 1799 Capital Inflows and Default : an "Old World" Story External Sovereign Default after 1800 : a Global Picture The Forgotten History of Domestic Debt and Default : part 3 The Stylized Facts of Domestic Debt and Default Domestic and External Debt Maturity, Rates of Return, and Currency Composition Episodes of Domestic Default Some Caveats Regarding Domestic Debt Domestic Debt : the Missing Link Explaining External Default and High Inflation Understanding the Debt Intolerance Puzzle Domestic Debt on the Eve and in the Aftermath of External Default The Literature on Inflation and the "Inflation Tax" Defining the Tax Base : Domestic Debt or the Monetary Base? The "Temptation to Inflate" Revisited Domestic and External Default : Which Is Worse? Who Is Senior? Real GDP in the Run-up to and the Aftermath of Debt Defaults Inflation in the Run-up to and the Aftermath of Debt Defaults The Incidence of Default on Debts Owed to External and Domestic Creditors Banking Crises, Inflation, and Currency Crashes : part 4 Banking Crises A Preamble on the Theory of Banking Crises Banking Crises : an Equal-Opportunity Menace Banking Crises, Capital Mobility, and Financial Liberalization Capital Flow Bonanzas, Credit Cycles, and Asset Prices Overcapacity Bubbles in the Financial Industry? The Fiscal Legacy of Financial Crises Revisited Living with the Wreckage : Some Observations Default through Debasement : an "Old World Favorite" Inflation and Modem Currency Crashes An Early History of Inflation Crises Modern Inflation Crises : Regional Comparisons Currency Crashes The Aftermath of High Inflation and Currency Collapses Undoing Domestic Dollarization The U.S. Subprime Meltdown and the Second Great Contraction : part 5 The U.S. Subprime Crisis : an International and Historical Comparison A Global Historical View of the Subprime Crisis and Its Aftermath The This-Time-Is-Different Syndrome and the Run-up to the Subprime Crisis Risks Posed by Sustained U.S. Borrowing from the Rest of the World : the Debate before the Crisis The Episodes of Postwar Bank-Centered Financial Crisis A Comparison of the Subprime Crisis with Past Crises in Advanced Economies The Aftermath of Financial Crises Historical Episodes Revisited The Downturn after a Crisis : Depth and Duration The Fiscal Legacy of Crises Sovereign Risk Comparisons with Experiences from the First Great Contraction in the 1930s The International Dimensions of the Subprime Crisis : the Results of Contagion or Common Fundamentals? Concepts of Contagion Selected Earlier Episodes Common Fundamentals and the Second Great Contraction Are More Spillovers Under Way? Composite Measures of Financial Turmoil Developing a Composite Index of Crises : the BCDI Index Defining a Global Financial Crisis The Sequencing of Crises : a Prototype What Have We Learned? : part 6 Reflections on Early Warnings, Graduation, Policy Responses, and the Foibles of Human Nature On Early Warnings of Crises The Role of International Institutions Graduation Some Observations on Policy Responses The Latest Version of the This-Time-Is-Different Syndrome Аннотация Throughout history, rich and poor countries alike have been lending, borrowing, crashing, and recovering their way through an extraordinary range of financial crises. Each time, the experts have chimed, "this time is different"- claiming that the old rules of valuation no longer apply and that the new situation bears little similarity to past disasters. With this breakthrough study, leading economists Carmen Reinhart and Kenneth Rogoff definitively prove them wrong. Covering sixty-six countries across five continents and eight centuries, "This Time Is Different" presents a comprehensive look at the varieties of financial crises - including government defaults, banking panics, and inflationary spikes - from medieval currency debasements to today’s subprime catastrophe. Reinhart and Rogoff provocatively argue that financial combustions are universal rites of passage for emerging and established market nations. An important book that will affect policy discussions for a long time to come, "This Time Is Different" exposes centuries of financial missteps. Carmen M. Reinhart is the Dennis Weatherstone Senior Fellow at the Peterson Institute for International Economics. She was previously professor of economics at the University of Maryland. Kenneth S. Rogoff is the Thomas D. Cabot Professor of Public Policy and professor of economics at Harvard University. He is a frequent commentator for NPR, the" Wall Street Journal", and the "Financial Times". |